Bet win % estimation, setting the money to bet
Stake matrix have to be in use, there are conditions with external circumstances which have strong influence on the final outcome in terms of the percentage of capital return. Stake in play should be estimated taking into account clear criteria that lowering the risk of lost. Therefore, when setting the stake, bellow’s categories should be taken into account. Detail bets creation standard work is here sergio ramos:
For Stake 1-3 – No strong evidence for advantage of one opponent, unable to verify found information. Betting on “Public Experts from TV”. The tipster’s faith in winning the match. Referring to the Betting on win of visiting opponents. Faith in break after a a lot of draws. Public info about team weaknesses has been available for couple of days. Friendly match for noting. Betting based only on dropped odds without checking the reason. Betting amateur level leagues – out of top30 based on UEFA ranking.
For stakes 4-6 – Betting event which don’t include arguments described in above category stakes 1-3. Proven missing of 2 key players in one opponent. Betting for home victory. Analysis of history matches in terms of series of wins or “connected” games. If H2H upcoming events looks to be fixed game or “related” invest a bet adequately.
For Stakes 7-10: Confirmed missing of 5 and more strong players from one team. Game for high stake. Events from top global leagues. Last minutes team news to situation into match squad 1hour before starting whistle (ex. Team coach decision to take away half of the strongest players). Proofed circumstances described in previous category stakes.
Confirmed lack of more than half the squad. “Selling” of the match. Fulfilled requirements for above stakes.
It’s important to remind, check constantly H2H results between players. Exist Teams that have a friendly relation one to another in the way of giving back particular matches. It can be seen by analysing historical matches, where specific outocmes cyclically appears. If we have in mind such a result, the match should be removed or from the other way – just invest accordingly.
By implementing conditions above and keeping consistency in action, you are lowering the risk of failure and your chances for winning are incomparably greater.
Relasing o betting coupon with right stake
The final step of the releasing a good bet is, of course, investing capital the previously assigned stakes. You have to work fast when evidences found are really strong and you are estimating to bet with stake 10. Take into account to stay one step in front of bookmaker in the race for really strong tips. In the worst case, the bookmaker will even remove the event from the offer. It’s good practice to act quickly, finding for events no matter of odds changes, have accounts in different bookies and pick this operator who overslept with the odds limitation. Nevertheless, take into account that the beauty of games stick in the fact that sometimes unexpected outcomes occur. Never invest all capital into one sure bet. Recommended methodology is to split your capital and invest at once max30% from total account, so in this case level of 30% of your total money on account can be stake 10 in our standard work of creation valuable coupons.
Verification of highly efficient valuable matches
When your potential “promising tip” is created, it’s necessary to double check the information are reasonable to win, and prove that odds changes are actually caused by players circumstances and other external arguments. It is important to check in several sources, for example: confirm info about changes in the game team squad and players off on the soccerway portal (on the specific team’s site the tab: Squad). Look in detail checking every player in terms of the number of number of cards, age, current predisposition, etc.
Verify info on team site and twitter account. If you bet on games from lower exotic leagues, it’s worth to double check your team Facebook accounts looking for pre-match reports and match-day squad are published. This step is so important, in the time of “fake news”, the goal is to confirm one more time found valuable tip.
nUnder some value and Over bets
The goal for Over/Under types is placing a bet for onlu some kind of result of a event. Just like handicap bets, operators offer a very wide range of types. The important disciplines in which these bets are used are hockey and other team sports. When to use these types of bets?
It’s really good idea to use it when you find matches where teams have a lot of problems in defensive lines – for Over. In the other hand, events where first choice players are injured in the offensive lines are ideal for – Under. You have to not take into consideration the history of opponents, matches and leagues in which the average total numbers of points per match is saying Over or Under bets. Without due diligence analysis mentioned higher, it is not profitable to invest into a bet only based on statistics